coloring_nested_tire_graphs: refute antipodal-chord rainbow conjecture as originally stated, add refined version with m_1 ≥ m precondition
Counterexample search uncovered: T1 = (m_1=3, chord=(0,3), SP) at γ=6 has |π_D| = 18, but the conjectured rainbow combined orbit has size 36 — only 6 of the 36 elements actually lie in π_D, and the literal generator pattern (1,2,3,2,3,1) is itself missing. Refined conjecture adds m_1 ≥ m precondition (same threshold from step 1 "saturation iff m ≥ k"). Under this precondition all 44 tested strict-Latin pairs are still compatible. Pointer to log path included. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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\newlabel{obs:antipodal-rainbow-conjecture}{{}{3}}
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\OT1/cmr/m/n/10.95 The orig-i-nal state-ment is false: \OT1/cmr/m/it/10.95 the
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counterexample-search log (\OT1/cmtt/m/it/10.95 experiments/counterexample[]sea
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@@ -151,28 +151,71 @@ This is a real upgrade on the step-$2$ data:
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\section*{Conjecture suggested by the data}
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\begin{obs}[Antipodal-chord rainbow conjecture]
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\begin{obs}[Antipodal-chord rainbow conjecture --- \emph{refuted as
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originally stated}; refined below]
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\label{obs:antipodal-rainbow-conjecture}
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\emph{Original (incorrect) statement.}
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Let $T = (m, (0, m/2), \mathrm{SP})$ be a Steiner-poor tire whose
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inner outerplanar graph $O$ is a cycle of length $m$ together with a
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single antipodal chord (so $m$ is even). Conjecture: the projection
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support $\pi_D(\mathcal{C}(T))$ on the $|\gamma| = m$ inner-side
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spokes always contains the combined orbit
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single antipodal chord (so $m$ is even). Conjecture (originally,
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without an outer-boundary precondition): the projection support
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$\pi_D(\mathcal{C}(T))$ on the $|\gamma| = m$ inner-side spokes
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always contains the combined orbit
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\[
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\mathrm{Orbit}\bigl(\,(a, b, c, b, c, \dots, b, c, a)\,\bigr)
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\]
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under $S_3 \times C_m$ (color permutation $\times$ cyclic rotation),
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where the pattern has length $m$ and the $a$-positions are exactly
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the two chord endpoints, with $b$ and $c$ alternating elsewhere.
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At $m = 6$ this is the rainbow orbit of size $36$ that
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Obs.~\ref{obs:rainbow-source} witnessed.
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under $S_3 \times C_m$, with $a$-positions at the two chord endpoints
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and $b, c$ alternating elsewhere. At $m = 6$ this is the rainbow
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orbit of size $36$ that Obs.~\ref{obs:rainbow-source} witnessed.
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\medskip
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\noindent
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\emph{The original statement is false:} the
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counterexample-search log
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(\texttt{experiments/counterexample\_search.log}) records the pair
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\[
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T_1 = (m_1 = 3,\ (0, 3),\ \mathrm{SP}),
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\qquad
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T_2 = (k_2 = 3,\ -,\ \mathrm{SP}),
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\qquad
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|\gamma| = 6,
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\]
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where $T_1$ is the antipodal-chord SP tire at $\gamma = 6$ but with
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\emph{small outer boundary} $m_1 = 3$. Direct computation gives
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$|\pi_D(\mathcal{C}(T_1))| = 18$. The conjectured rainbow combined
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orbit has size $36$, so the orbit cannot fit inside $\pi_D$; in fact
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only $6$ of the $36$ rainbow-orbit elements lie in $\pi_D$, and the
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literal generator pattern $(1, 2, 3, 2, 3, 1)$ is itself among the
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$30$ \emph{missing} elements. Furthermore, $\pi_U^{(2)}(\mathcal{C}(T_2))$
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has $|\pi_U| = 84$, but $\pi_D(\mathcal{C}(T_1)) \cap
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\pi_U(\mathcal{C}(T_2)) = \emptyset$ in both orientations, so this is
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also a (strict-Latin) counterexample to step-$2$ compatibility.
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\medskip
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\noindent
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\emph{Refined statement (now consistent with all data).}
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The original conjecture omitted an outer-boundary precondition. The
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correct conjecture is:
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\begin{quote}
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\textbf{If additionally $m_1 = |B_{\mathrm{out}}^{(1)}| \geq m$
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(i.e.\ the outer boundary is at least as long as the inner
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boundary), then $\pi_D(\mathcal{C}(T))$ contains the antipodal
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rainbow combined orbit.}
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\end{quote}
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The threshold $m_1 \geq m$ is the same saturation threshold from
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step~$1$: when the dual cycle of $T$ has length $n_1 = m_1 + m
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\geq 2m$, the spoke projection saturates the full Latin set on
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$\gamma$. Under this precondition all $23$ pairs of the original
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step-$2$ tests and all $44$ strict-Latin pairs in the search log
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with $m_1 \geq m$ \emph{and} $k_2 \geq m$ confirm the property.
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\end{obs}
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If true, this is a uniform structural property of the antipodal-chord
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SP tire, independent of the outer boundary length. The chain
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pigeonhole step at $|\gamma| = m$ on such a tire reduces to
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``$\pi_U$ of the other tire intersects this fixed orbit,'' a much
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smaller compatibility claim.
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If the refined statement holds, this is a uniform structural property
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of the antipodal-chord SP tire \emph{with sufficient outer cycle
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length}. The chain pigeonhole step at $|\gamma| = m$ on such a tire
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reduces to ``$\pi_U$ of the other tire intersects this fixed orbit,''
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a much smaller compatibility claim --- but only once both sides clear
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the outer-boundary threshold.
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\paragraph{Direct test.} At $m = 4$ ($\theta(1, 2, 2) = K_4 - e$) the
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antipodal-chord SP tire's $\pi_D$ support has size $36$ at $|\gamma| =
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