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NEW NOTE: chain_half_analysis.tex (4 pages). Formulates the chain half of the loose conjecture as a tree DP over the cut tire forest, identifies what's proven vs. open: PROVEN - Tree structure (high-side forest): from cut_tire_tree_structure.tex - S_3-equivariance of the DP: trivial Lemma in this note - Per-tire half for spoke-only cut tires (n ≥ 3): Prop 1.13 OPEN / GAPS DISCOVERED 1. Cut tires are NOT in general spoke-only. H_d can have degree-3 vertices (= branch points), making face boundaries non-simple cycles. Dodecahedron 6-edge cut yields H_1 with one face of length 20 over only 11 distinct vertices. Prop 1.13's count 2^n + 2(-1)^n applies only to spoke-only tires. 2. OUT-only projection loses S_3 orbit info. The per-tire half guarantees a full S_3 orbit on the JOINT (in + out) projection, but restricting to OUT spokes can collapse to |A|=3 (constant tuples). Empirically observed ~20% of the time on test cases. Correct DP must track joint projection (analog of tire_fiber_step2.tex's joint-support tracking). 3. Non-emptiness preservation through the DP is the genuine open piece (Conj. in this note + Strong per-tire extendibility). EMPIRICAL TESTS - chain_dp_test.py: simple cycle DP (assumes spoke-only). - chain_dp_general.py: handles branched faces via brute-force 3-edge-coloring enumeration (cut off at 12 edges/tire for tractability). - chain_dp_debug.py: diagnostic for inspecting H_d face structure. The general test reveals all three gaps above when run on Dodecahedron + HM #0. Cross-cut R_0 ∩ R_1 should be non-empty for both (they are 3-edge-colorable), but the heuristic parent-finding plus OUT-only projection produce false negatives. Status table at end of note summarizes what's needed to close. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>